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Title : Key Republican Senators Telephone Outcry Upwards On President Bush Non To Veto S-Chip Reauthorization--A President Acting Similar He Has Nil To Lose

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Key Republican Senators Telephone Outcry Upwards On President Bush Non To Veto S-Chip Reauthorization--A President Acting Similar He Has Nil To Lose

On Th I commented on the Senate Finance deal to reauthorize the State Children's Health Insurance Plan (S-CHIP). The bipartisan bargain calls for a $35 billion expansion of the program, reversing dry reason efforts to utilization it to comprehend adults, as well as pays for it alongside a whopping novel 61 cent per pack tobacco tax.

Yesterday, 2 really of import Republican members--Grassley as well as Hatch--of the Senate Finance Committee called on the White House to halt their S-CHIP reauthorization veto threats--the President wants an growth inwards S-CHIP spending of $5 billion.

The S-CHIP reauthorization procedure is speedily becoming non a Republican versus Democrat battle but a Congress versus the President fight.

To endure sure, at that topographic point are lots of conservative Republicans that side alongside the President inwards their occupation organisation that S-CHIP has expanded likewise speedily as well as beyond its master copy scope. But it is clear that near all Democrats and lots of of import Republicans are going to become along alongside this deal.

In fact, the House wants more. House Democratic leaders desire to pass $50 billion as well as they non solely desire a tobacco taxation but they desire to cut the someone Medicare Advantage program to come upwardly up alongside to a greater extent than money.

My feel continues to endure that:

• The Congress will reauthorize S-CHIP along the lines of the Senate Finance deal.
• Medicare Advantage payments to wellness plans volition endure cutting at year-end every bit operate of the concluding budget reconciliation procedure to pay for Medicare provider payments--particularly the coming 10% doc fee cuts.
• Medicare someone Fee For Service volition bring the biggest of the cuts--perhaps seeing those payments frozen.

However, where I cause got begun to wonder is over George Bush as well as how he is going to response to this S-CHIP spending specifically as well as the upcoming Democratic spending bills inwards general.

This President has never vetoed a spending bill--even when the Republican Congress spent similar a "bunch of drunken sailors." (He did veto an Republic of Iraq spending pecker over a troop pull-out amendment.)

No modern president has every been weaker politically. Now, his Republic of Iraq problems hold off to endure snowballing on Capitol Hill creating fifty-fifty to a greater extent than political problems for him.

Two really loyal as well as of import Republican Senators cause got right away told him "hands off" on S-CHIP. When yous mean value near it, that's pretty incredible inwards its ain correct as well as says a lot near his political weakness.

While I feel that both the House as well as Senate tin terminate easily transcend the Senate Finance compromise on S-CHIP, I also don't run into the two-thirds margin necessary to over-ride a Bush veto.

I cause got to enjoin yous that I merely instruct the feel nosotros could endure inwards for a major showdown betwixt the President as well as the Congress--including fundamental Republicans. It looks to me similar Bush is right away acting similar he has null to lose inwards staying his bird on all of his issues--including health care.

Passage of the Senate Finance compromise on S-CHIP as well as a veto past times Bush would merely force the whole affair into the year-end reconciliation. Load that upwardly alongside lots of things Bush won't bring as well as he merely powerfulness rear this to the form of government shutdown battle we saw inwards 1995/1996 betwixt Gingrich as well as Clinton.

The prospect from anything similar that as well as the resulting fallout inwards an election-year has to cause got enough of Republicans actually worried near a President alongside null to lose.

Thursday's Post:

Senate Finance Committee Reaches Bipartisan Agreement to Fund S-CHIP Expansion With a Tobacco Tax--No Cuts to Medicare Advantage

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